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January 2016

What I think for 2016?

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The key factors for 2016 are as follows

  1. US dollar – will the key US economic indicators (employment, GDP, and inflation) be strong enough to support the Fed’s intention to raise interest rates 4 times in 2016. At the moment, the market does not think so; current interest rate futures prices indicate an expectation of only 2 hikes in 2016.